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Ron Paul Winning The Nomination: Republican Party’s Worst Nightmare?

January 3, 2012 11 comments

Within a couple of weeks, we’ll know who’ll be facing Barack Obama for the presidency in November. Yes, I believe that the Republican field is going to narrow down quickly following the Iowa caucus and within the several days following a clear front-runner will have emerged. And I still believe that favorite will be Mitt Romney.

If the eventual Republican nominee isn’t Mitt Romney, there’s a good chance it could Ron Paul. If Paul were to be the nominee, would that be a good scenario for Republicans or the best case scenario for Democrats?

Ron Paul is most definitely not the typical definition of a Republican. While he may be labeled as a conservative, Paul carries some fairly radical views by politician’s standards. He’s in favor of things like limiting the role of government in people’s lives, drastic cuts in government spending and dumping the Federal Reserve altogether. Conservative? Sure. A little too far out there? Possibly.

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Can Ron Paul Actually Win The Iowa Caucus?

December 22, 2011 14 comments

I’m beginning to believe that the answer to this question is yes.

With the January 3rd Iowa Caucus approaching just days away, it’s Paul, who has long been a middle of the pack Republican contender, suddenly surging to the top of the polls.

In the latest Iowa Caucus polling data, Paul has now taken a small lead over perennial front-runner Mitt Romney and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich who has recently seen his own poll number surge quickly come back down to earth.

Polling data is all well and good but can Ron Paul actually pull out a win in Iowa?  It seems like at this point he can.  His campaign seems to be hitting its stride at just the right time.  While others have taken their turn in the spotlight, Paul has seen steady if not significant support.  Voters seem to be showing signs of fatigue with some of the long-standing candidates like Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich and may be giving Ron Paul a serious look for the first time.

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Would Ron Paul Make A Viable 3rd Party Candidate?

December 9, 2011 10 comments

The more I watch the presidential debates on TV and read election coverage on the internet, the more intrigued I get about Ron Paul as a presidential candidate.  Granted, I think he can come off as a little not all there at times but I think he’s got the right idea with some of his proposals and is certainly anything but the generic vanilla presidential candidate.

Unfortunately, despite how good of a candidate I may or may not think Ron Paul is (although from what I’ve read Paul certainly seems to have the most zealous and fervent admirers by far), it seems like a longshot at best that he’ll win the Republican nomination.  Recent polling shows that Paul is in a distant third place right now behind Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney.

The speculation therefore has turned to whether or not Paul might run for President as a third party candidate – possibly as a Libertarian or just a straight independent.  This tactic has been used several times in recent elections – the most successful being in 1992 when Texas billionaire Ross Perot garnered almost 19% of the popular vote running as an independent.  The infamous Bush-Gore election in 2000 may have had the greatest impact from a third party candidate.  Green Party candidate Ralph Nader earned almost 3,000,000 votes in an election that was decided by about 500,000.  Could those votes have helped Al Gore make it to the White House?

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